24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Apr 25, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Avalanche hazards today, and over the next couple days, will generally be small and isolated.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>If you get up onto steep, shady slopes that still harbor dry snow, watch out for triggering small </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind Slab avalanches. </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>Without much recent snowfall, any wind drifts will likely be less than a foot deep and most of them will be well bonded at this point. You’ll want to look out for drifts that aren’t well bonded - cracks shooting out from your skis or sled are the bullseye data to watch for. If snowfall kicks in earlier than expected on Sunday, fresh wind slabs may become a more substantial issue later in the day.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>When the sun is out and not obscured by clouds (mostly today, but also maybe in places on Saturday),</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span> Wet Loose avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> will be a concern. In most places the snow surface has been worked over by multiple days of warm temperatures and won’t readily destabilize. Mostly watch for small slides in the softer, newer snow. A sticky, wet snow surface and roller balls running down from your tracks indicate that the conditions for these slides are developing.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>While both wet and dry slides will be generally small, remember that any type of avalanche can be hazardous in terrain where they could push you into rocks, trees, over a cliff, or carry you a long way down a steep slope. Before riding steep slopes, assess the terrain for consequences of being knocked over by a small slide.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Daily forecasts are done for the season, but avalanches will continue. Remain diligent with your snowpack and terrain assessments, and be ready to adapt your plans to changing conditions. See our website for more general spring snowpack and travel advice.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<h3><span><span><span><strong><span><span>GENERAL SPRING SNOWPACK AND TRAVEL ADVICE</span></span></strong></span></span></span></h3>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Spring weather can be highly variable and create a mix of avalanche problems. Snow conditions and stability can change drastically from day to day or hour to hour. Anticipate rapid change and plan accordingly. Abundant snowfall over the winter with more spring snow to come makes avalanches possible into summer.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>NEW SNOW AND WIND LOADED SLOPES</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Spring storms are notorious for depositing heavy amounts of snow in the mountains. Even with a deep and generally stable snowpack throughout the advisory area, heavy and rapid loads of new snow will decrease stability. The main problems to look out for are avalanches breaking within the new snow, wind slabs, and loose snow avalanches. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche spikes during and immediately after snowstorms. New snow instabilities tend to stabilize quickly, but it’s a good idea to give fresh snow a day to adjust before hitting big terrain. New snow instabilities can be challenging to assess, and spring storms bond to old snow differently across aspects and elevations. Conservative terrain selection is essential during and immediately following storms. Avoid wind-loaded slopes and slopes steeper than 35 degrees for 24-48 hours after new snow and wind.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>New snow can quickly change from dry to wet on a spring day, and stability can decrease rapidly with above freezing temperatures or brief sunshine. New snow may bond well early in the morning and then easily slide later. Wet loose slides are likely during the first above freezing temperatures or sunshine immediately after a storm. Anticipate changes in snow stability as you change aspect or elevation and over the course of the day. An early start is always an advantage. Be ready to change plans or move to safer terrain at the first signs of decreasing stability.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>WET SNOW AVALANCHES</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Spring and wet snow avalanches go hand-in-hand. Above freezing temperatures, rain, and/or intense sunshine cause the snow to become wet and weak and make wet avalanches easy to trigger or release naturally. Conditions tend to become most unstable when temperatures stay above freezing for multiple days and nights in a row. Avoid steep terrain, and be aware of the potential for natural wet avalanches in steep terrain above you, if you see:</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<ul>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Heavy rain,</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Above freezing temperatures for more than 24 hours,</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Natural wet avalanches,</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Rollerballs or pinwheels indicating a moist or wet snow surface,</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Or if you sink to your boot top in wet snow.</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
</ul>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>In general, if the snow surface freezes solid overnight, the snowpack will be stable in the morning and stability will decrease through the day as snow warms up. The snow surface hardness, rate of warming, duration of sunshine, aspect and elevation determine how fast stability will decrease through the day. Be aware that sunny aspects may have a wet snow avalanche danger while shadier slopes still have a dry snow avalanche danger. Getting off of steep slopes should be considered when, or before, the above signs of instability are present. Wet snow avalanches, whether loose snow or slabs, can be powerful, destructive and very dangerous. Conservative terrain choices, starting early in the day, and careful observations can keep you safe. See Alex’s recent video, and this article for more spring travel advice.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>CORNICES</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Cornices along ridgelines are massive and can break under the weight of a person (photo). Prolonged above freezing temperatures and rain make them weaker and possible to break naturally. They can break off suddenly and farther back than one might expect. Cornice falls can also entrain large amounts of loose snow or trigger slab avalanches. Stay far back from the edge of ridgelines and minimize exposure to slopes directly below cornices. Regardless of whether a cornice triggers a slide or not, a falling cornice is dangerous to anyone in its path.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>DISCLAIMER</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>It does not matter if new snow falls or not, avalanches will continue to occur until the existing snowpack is mostly gone. Always assess the slope you plan to ride with diligence and safety in mind. Do not let your guard down. Travel with a partner, carry rescue gear and only expose one person at a time in avalanche terrain.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Have a safe and enjoyable spring and summer!</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Mark, Alex, Ian and Dave</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>For more spring travel advice see this&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/blog/transitions-spring-snow-avalanche-prob… our GNFAC forecaster blog</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

A few inches of new snow and good stability

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

We rode into Tepee Basin along the headwall and up to the wilderness boundary. There had been a number of small releases of roller balls in steep rocky terrain but nothing got legs and ran. It would be hard to classify any of the activity, even as small wet loose avalanches. Crusts stayed robust and supportable throughout the day. 

There was 2-3” new snow at the bottom of the basin and 4–5 inches up near the wilderness boundary. Winds were calm, and there was no active wind loading. The new snow throughout the basin got moist during the heat of the day. North-facing slopes at upper elevations stayed cool and mostly dry. 

We had a nice late-season ride. Avalanches are unlikely under the current status quo. Today, the primary problem was isolated wind-slab instability in upper-wind-exposed terrain. Overall, there are safe avalanche conditions.

A significant warm-up or a significant pulse of snow would change the equation. At this point, it seems like most of the snow around has been transformed by warm temperatures over the last few weeks. I am more worried about new snow than a warm-up. 

Region
Southern Madison
Location (from list)
Tepee Basin
Observer Name
David Zinn

Various instabilties up high

Date
Activity
Skiing

Toured out of beehive basin yesterday (4/22). I spotted a storm slab avalanche on a northeast-facing slope at 9400 ft It was fairly far away, but the debris pile was decently sized. While skiing a northwest aspect in the high alpine, I pulled out several small wind slab pockets, including one that propagated about 10 ft and was a foot or so deep. These slabs were beginning to set up and weren't super touchy. Later in the day, I saw a small point release originating from an east-facing rock band at around 10000 ft. 

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
Beehive Basin
Observer Name
Jay Alford

Touchy wind slab on Bridger Ridge

Date
Activity
Skiing

NE facing ridgeline near Hidden Couloir was touchy, with a 6-8” stiff wind slab breaking quite easily underfoot. Not the first person to ski Hidden, so observed this slab was not propagating far, but was breaking easily as temps heated up. 

 

 

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Bridger Bowl
Observer Name
M. Standal

Good Stability Texas Meadows Area

Date
Activity
Skiing

Toured through Bradley's Meadow today and N into the drainage and the backside of Texas Meadows. Approx 6" of dense, new snow. New snow has bonded well and we couldn't get anything to move or sluff. Zero shooting cracks, no collapsing on N, E, or S aspects.   Nice skiing with the existing layer supporting the new snow.

Location (from list)
Brackett Creek
Observer Name
C. Robinson

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Apr 21, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Any avalanche problems will involve the new snow. Otherwise, the snowpack is generally stable and larger avalanches are unlikely. Skiers or riders can trigger </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>, around 4-8” deep, on steep slopes where the 4-5" of new snow has been drifted into thicker or stiffer slabs. Additionally, </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>dry loose</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wet loose</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> are possible to trigger and could run long distances on firm crusts below the new snow. When the sun comes out, the new snow will quickly get wet and easily slide on steep, sunny slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>On Saturday skiers triggered small wind slab avalanches, 3-6” deep and 10-20’ wide, in the northern Bridgers (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34932"><span><span><span><strong><span… and photos</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>) and near Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/small-wind-slab-and-dry-loose-sli…;). Today you might encounter similar drifts, or some slightly larger drifts in areas with more new snow.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Slides will be generally small, but any type of avalanche can be hazardous in terrain where they could push you into rocks, trees, over a cliff, or carry you a long way down a steep slope. Before riding steep slopes, assess the terrain for consequences of being knocked over by a small slide.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Be on the lookout for fresh drifts and avoid them, especially in consequential terrain. Monitor the snow surface for wet snow avalanche potential, and if it is becoming moist find lower angle terrain or shadier slopes with drier snow.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Daily forecasts are done for the season, but avalanches will continue. Remain diligent with your snowpack and terrain assessments, and be ready to adapt your plans to changing conditions. See below for more general spring snowpack and travel advice.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Announcements

The Hyalite Canyon Road is closed to ALL MOTORIZED VEHICLES until May 16. This is a regular annual road closure to reduce road damage during the spring thaw. Bicycle and foot traffic are allowed.